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August 30, 2009

30 August Iraq and Chapter VII - Part 2

August 30, 2009


Important Iraq Dates

August 22 to September 19 2009 – Ramadan
September 8, 2009 – New incoming Parliament Holds First Session
September 2009 - U.N. Meeting Iraq Chapter VII
October 16-17, 2009, Getenergy for Iraq 2009, Istanbul, Turkey
October 24, 2009 – National Census
October 2009 – International Compact with Iraq - Baghdad
December 7-9, 2009 Iraq Petroleum Conference London U.K.
December 31, 2009 – Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) expires
December 2009 – Article 140 Vote
January 16, 2010 – Iraq Referendum Vote (SOFA Security Agreement)
January 16, 2010 - National Parliamentary Elections

IRAQ & CHAPTER VII PART II

After writing and publishing my last report on Iraq and Chapter VII, I began receiving emails saying that the United Nations had sent them an email saying U.N. Chapter VII had been lifted.

For all of you that have received or read those type of emails from the United Nations Reference Team, saying Chapter VII on Iraq have been removed those emails have been manipulated or altered. I know your not surprised by this new revelation!

The U.N. Reference Team can not and will not give analysis to anyone they only give the documents or reference materials or information to what you are researching only. They leave the analysis to others to interpret Resolutions the United Nations vote on. You don't believe me ask them?

Now back to my Part II Iraq and Chapter VII.

I thought I detailed quite clearly why Iraq is still under Chapter VII and apparently I still have people just not convinced and this is the reason why we have a Part II. Plus I like showing those experts just how wrong they are as they make deliberate comments intended perhaps to mislead you.

First, we have to look at the recent report to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) from the United Nations (UN) Secretary General Ban Ki Moon, dated 27 July 2009.

Question: Why did the UN Secretary-General write that particular report to the UNSC?

Something made him do it. As you look at the Secretary-Generals report what does the first entry text at the top of the document say:

“Report of the Secretary-General pursuant to paragraph 5 of resolution 1859 (2008)”

The Secretary-General wrote the report on Iraq because a certain UN resolution (resolution 1859 (2008) mandated a written report to the UNSC.

Paragraph 5 of resolution 1859 (2008) says:

Decides to review resolutions pertaining specifically to Iraq, beginning with the adoption of resolution 661 (1990), and in that regard requests the Secretary-General to report, after consultations with Iraq, on facts relevant to consideration by the council of actions necessary for Iraq to achieve international standing equal to that which it held prior to the adoption of such resolutions;

As you have the resolution 1859 (2008) open on your machine and looking at it look at page 3 which is the same page paragraph 5 is located.

Do you see this line of text it says:

Acting under Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations

After this text than 6 paragraphs are written than followed by Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, written letter to the UNSC.

Chapter VII will be lifted when the UNSC votes on a UN resolution removing the UN Article VII from Iraq just like they remove several resolutions on Iraq already.

One more thing the Secretary-General will give another written report in December 2009.

When the vote comes the UNSC vote has to be unanimous not a majority vote. All permanent members of the UNSC all have to vote yes. Let me ask you with the Oil and Gas Law still waiting on passage from the Iraqi Parliament you really think UNSC members are going to vote yes any time soon?

The Russian Federation, prior to March 2003, had very lucrative oil contracts that they now no longer have. Don't you think they are just a tad upset of all that revenue that they lost? The Russians have bases and a military to build up and they need cash and energy resources. And the Russians are not the only permanent member of the UNSC needing and wanting lucrative oil and energy contracts.

Internet News Stories on Russian and Iraq Oil Contracts


Russian Contracts with Iraq to Be Frozen
2 June 2003
Link to Article http://dwarfurl.com/e67a0

Russia and Iraq May Revive Pre-War Contracts
10 April 2009
Link to Article http://dwarfurl.com/9f972

Russia announces major arms buildup
17 March 2009
Link to Article http://dwarfurl.com/75f1f

You don't think the Russian Federation is going to possibly use the vote in the UNSC to use it as leverage against Iraq to secure an Oil Contract. In Russia's favor they did forgive 12 billion of Iraq debt.

Russia forgives 12-billion-dollar Iraq debt
11 Feb 2008
Link to Article http://dwarfurl.com/69f91

In regards to Iraq weapons and other military equipment that they are authorized to purchase from whom ever they choose from legally, I want to point out an additional text on the matter.

The Security Council committee established pursuant to resolution 1518 (2003) http://dwarfurl.com/be77b If you click on the link you will see the text written on the right side of the web page.

Under the heading: Exceptions to the measure;

The text in the box says:
The prohibitions related to the sale or supply to Iraq of arms and related material under previous resolutions shall not apply to arms or related material required by the government of Iraq or the multinational force to serve the purposes of resolution 1546 (2004). Nothing in the preceding paragraph affects the prohibitions on or obligations of states related to items specified in paragraphs 8 and 12 of resolution 687 (1991) or activities described in paragraph 3 of resolution 707 (1991).


The only prohibitions the Iraqi government has is they can not acquire any weapons in the weapons of mass destruction category as I have stated in my last report.

On a side note next month September 2009, there will be another meeting with the UNSC with regards to Iraq and U.N. Chapter VII. The exact day to be determined.

I hope I made my case as to Iraq will continue to be under U.N. Article Chapter VII and we can all hope by the end of the year maybe be lifted from Iraq.

RV Update.

Nothing significant to report. The politics will determine that scenario as all political parties and the ones that are getting ready to organize will decide what happens to the country. Prime Minister Maliki will soon be forming his non-sectarian political group of Kurds, Sunni, and Shia in his organization and attempting to marginalize the Chalabi and ISCI in the upcoming elections.
The Kuwaiti and Iraq war reparations continues as the Kuwaiti Airways is moving against the Iraq government to seize the Canadian Airplanes the Iraqi government just purchased in the past. This is all under litigation in Canada. Kuwait thinking they will get there money one way or another by placing additional pressure on the Iraqi government. The Iraqi government is trying to back out of the deal with Canada.

The Serbian government just announced weapons deals for Iraq in the amount of 100 million, however the deal is being questioned by the Iraqi Parliament due to the past corruption scandal involving that particular Iraqi Ministry.

This is all for now and I promise more to follow...

American Contractor

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August 22, 2009

22 August 2009 Chapter Seven and Iraq

Published on 22 August 2009 to the mailing list subscribers

August 21st to September 19th 2009 – Ramadan
September 8, 2009 – New incoming Parliament Holds First Session
October 16-17, 2009, Getenergy for Iraq 2009, to be held in Istanbul, Turkey
October 24, 2009 – National Census
October 2009 – International Compact with Iraq– Date to be Announced – Baghdad
December 7-9, 2009 Iraq Petroleum Conference London U.K.
December 31, 2009 – Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) expires
December 31, 2009 – Article Seven U.N. Charter expires
December 2009 – Article 140 Vote
January 16, 2010 – Iraq Referendum Vote (SOFA Security Agreement)
January 16, 2010 - National Parliamentary Elections

I would like to say first I receive a lot emails about Chapter Seven and Iraq. Which most of the emails I receive are in the Chapter Seven has been lifted crowd.

I really can understand why you all take that position with all the misinformation and rumors circulating along with the Arab and western media feeding there news stories largely because they have nothing else to write about, so they write and rewrite the same stories over and over maybe thinking nobody's paying attention.

So this is my way of setting the rumor about Chapter Seven and that it is in full force on Iraq as I write this on my machine.

You after reading might not agree of my commentary and analysis and I understand since I am the American Contractor blogger writing this.

If you have something different and can show I am more than willing to look at it. Please send it and you all know my email address [americancontractor@Gmail.com]

When government officials are talking about Chapter Seven what exactly are they talking about and what does Chapter Seven mean.

According to wikipedia:

Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter sets out the UN Security Council's powers to maintain peace. It allows the Council to "determine the existence of any threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression" and to take military and nonmilitary action to "restore international peace and security".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chapter_VII_of_the_United_Nations_Charter

After reading that you must be thinking that Iraq is no threat to anyone they barely have a Army, Navy, Air force, Police and Security Forces.

True they are doing there best to build up all those forces and we hope in the future that they are capable of performing all those duties on there own without the help of the United States government.

What I want you all to notice is the words “determine the existence of any threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression.”

Just a few days ago (19 August) there were attacks on several of the Iraqi Government facilities and buildings such as Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Finance and others and scores of innocent people were either killed or wounded. Would these acts of violence fall under the “threat to the peace” or Breach of the peace.”?

It means internally as well as externally. We all know Iraq is no threat to it's Arab neighbors however, there is a threat within Iraq that makes other governments nervous about where Iraq is headed in the future.

Lets look at what others have to say about lifting Chapter Seven.

How about the Iraq's Ambassador to the United Nations; Hamid al-Bayati being interviewed by a reporter on November 7, 2008


Q: What is the importance of Chapter 7 from the United Nations Security Council and Iraq's place in that?

A: There are two important issues: One, it considers Iraq as a danger for security and stability. Second, it authorizes a Security Council member to use force in Iraq. Iraq and the Iraqi government wanted to get out of Chapter 7 because of those two points. We don't think Iraq is a danger for security and stability, and we think that there is no need to authorize Security Council members to use force in Iraq.

http://www.upi.com/Emerging_Threats/2008/11/07/Interview-Iraqs-UN-Ambassador-Hamid-al-Bayati/UPI-98921226083717/

The interview was last year November 2008 and the Ambassador don't believe Iraq is a danger for security and stability. I wonder what he would say now.

Lets look at some recent comments made by U.S Government officials like Pres. Obama while the Prime Minister of Iraq Nuri al-Maliki was pleading his case for the lifting of Chapter Seven.

This is a quote from Pres. Obama in the Wall Street Journal, dated 22 July 2009.

"As we move forward, Prime Minister Maliki and I have no doubt but
that there will be some tough days ahead," Obama said. "There will be
attacks on Iraqi security forces and the American troops supporting
them. There are still those in Iraq who would murder innocent men,
women and children. There are still those who want to foment sectarian
conflict. "But make no mistake, those efforts will fail." - Pres. Obama

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090722-716421.html

Again talking about the threats within Iraq of people still wanting to murder innocent men, women and children.

29 July 2009 the U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki Moon after he released his Security Council Resolution Review on Iraq.

“"The Security Council should also take into account the efforts and progress made by the government of Iraq since 2003 in creating a
stable nation, at peace with itself and its neighbors," Ban said. "It
is important to recognize that Iraq of today is very different from
Iraq prior to 2003."

http://www.thearynews.com/english/newsdetail.asp?nid=31140


Two documented quotes from the leader of the free world and the U.N. Secretary General both mentioning about threats within and peace with itself and its neighbors. Plus don't forget the Ambassador of Iraq to the U.N. his question and answer session with a reporter.

The Chapter Seven Article is what gives powers to the U.N. Security Council made up of five permanent members, USA, France, U.K., China, Russia. There are ten other countries but they are not permanent members but they do have a voice in the matter such as the country of Kuwait. Kuwait is very much involved in any discussions about Chapter Seven and Iraq.

It is these five countries PM Maliki and Iraqi government delegations were visiting last year to try and be convincing to have each permanent member vote yes on lifting the Chapter Seven. As you can see it did not move everyone to vote yes on removal.

Some people argue the Chapter Seven has been lifted because Iraq is acquiring deals in Arms and weapons sales. And Chapter Seven would prohibit these type of transactions so chapter Seven is no more! Right!

The short answer is no it would not. Only a specific written UNSC Resolution would be able to specifically ban weapons sales to a country that is currently under U.N. Chapter Seven.

The Chapter Seven is what gives the Security Council the authority to set sanctions or whatever action to include using military force against a sovereign nation to comply with any U.N. Resolution.

Please read the last paragraph if I lost you in determining what Chapter Seven is all about.

After the first Gulf War the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) passed Resolution 661 (1990). And the specific paragraph I want you to read is below.

Resolution 661 (1990)

(c) The sale or supply by their nationals or from their territories or using their flag vessels of any commodities or products, including weapons or any other military equipment, whether or not originating in their territories but not including supplies intended strictly for medical purposes, and, in humanitarian circumstances, foodstuffs, to any person or body in Iraq or Kuwait or to any person or body for the purposes of any business carried on in or operated from Iraq or Kuwait, and any activities by their nationals or in their territories which promote or are calculated to promote such sale or supply of such commodities or products;

http://www.fas.org/news/un/iraq/sres/sres0661.htm

After reading UNSC Resolution 661 it states in plain english that Iraq will not engage in any sales or supply of weapons or any other military equipment.

After the Iraq Invasion these economic sanctions of Resolution 661 were lifted from Iraq in May 2003. To include the prohibition of weapons sales and other military equipment.

President Bush lifted the economic sanctions against Iraq because Iraq would not be able to get there infrastructure repaired and the security forces built up if Iraq was still under UNSC Resolution 661.

On May 22, 2003 there was a news article published by the American Forces Press Service stating UNSC resolution 1483 had passed and removing Resolution 661 economic sanctions against Iraq.


United Nations Lift Sanctions Against Iraq
American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, May 22, 2003 ñ The United Nations this morning lifted sanctions against Iraq following a 14-0 vote in the Security Council.

The vote on U.N. Security Council Resolution 1483 lifts sanctions imposed on Saddam Hussein's regime following the Persian Gulf War. The resolution also gives the United States and the United Kingdom authority to control the country until an elected government is in place.

http://www.defenselink.mil/news/newsarticle.aspx?id=28956

If you take the time and read the article it states:

excerpt from article:

The resolution lifts export restrictions to Iraq, with the exception of trade in arms and related materiel. Aviation restrictions are also lifted.

"But Iraq's disarmament obligations remain, and member states remain barred from assisting Iraq in acquiring weapons of mass destruction (and) proscribed missile systems or proceeding with civil nuclear activities, so long as those restrictions remain in effect," he said.

The restrictions of trade in arms has to do with weapons of mass destruction and any materials used to pursue those type of weapons ie. such as chemical and nuclear weapons.

I know after reading that you are going to say that it means weapons or all weapons and I understand let me explain further.

On 22 May 2003 the UNSC passed resolution 1483 (2003) and if you take a moment to read Paragraph 10.

UNSC Resolution 1483 (2003) Paragraph 10:

10. Decides that, with the exception of prohibitions related to the sale or supply to Iraq of arms and related material other than those arms and related material required by the authority to serve the purposes of this and other related resolutions, all prohibitions related to trade with Iraq and the provision of financial or economic resources to Iraq established by resolution 661 (1990) and subsequent relevant resolutions, including resolution 778 (1992) of 2 October 1992, shall no longer apply;

Remember the supply to Iraq of arms and related material involves the weapons of mass destruction and when it mentions in the above paragraph 'other than those arms and related material required by the authority' means the Iraqi government. The Iraqi government is now free from this restriction and can go out and sign weapons deals with other countries.

Remember this was May 2003. Even with this resolution lifted Iraq is still under the U.N. Chapter Seven Article until a new resolution is drafted releasing them from Chapter Seven.

UNSC Resolution 1483 (2003)
http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/iraq/un/n0336853.pdf

Listed below are some news media articles of the Iraqi Government signing arms deals with different countries. I listed two articles in dated in the year 2007 in which the Iraqi government was looking for weapons for the Iraqi Army and Security forces.

So we can all agree that in 2007 Iraq was under Chapter Seven and signing deals with foreign governments for the purchase of weapons and military equipment.

Guns, not roses, for Iraq
September 18, 2007
"Iraq is becoming one of the United States' larger foreign military sales customers," Petraeus told the Senate Armed Services Committee on Sept. 11, noting that Iraq has inked deals to buy $1.6 billion in arms from the U.S., with the "possibility of up to $1.8 billion more."

http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2007/09/18/weapons/

Iraq turns to China for arms
5 October 2007
Iraq has ordered $US100 million ($113 million) worth of military equipment from China for its police force, claiming the US is unable to provide the material and is too slow to deliver arms shipments.

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22532537-15084,00.html


The below article dated 20 July 2009, it is a recent article and the Iraqi government is attempting to buy U.S. M1 Abrams Tanks, only one problem they dont have any money. However, in 2007 those weapons deals went through because the U.S. government gave the money to the Iraqi government to purchase those weapons.

Poor Cash Flow Delays Iraqi Deals
20 July 2009
The sale of hundreds of U.S. Abrams tanks, as well as helicopters and other equipment, to the Iraqi Army is being held up by the Iraqi government's poor credit rating, leading the Iraqis to eye vehicles and equipment from other countries, Pentagon and industry officials said.
http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?i=4195302

In 2008, the Serbian defense industry closed a USD 235mn worth export deal with Iraq. The contract envisaged the sale of infantry arms, around 17,000 guns, mine throwers, and a great amount of ammo.
http://www.b92.net/eng/news/politics-article.php?yyyy=2009&mm=08&dd=03&nav_id=60915

Iraq Seeks F-16 Fighters
5 September 2008
The Iraqi government is seeking to buy 36 advanced F-16 fighters from the U.S., say American military officials familiar with the request, a move that could help reduce its reliance on U.S. air power and potentially allow more American forces to withdraw from the country than had been proposed.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122056503871901333.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Now if you have been reading my newsletters for the past few months I have always said to keep your eye on the Russians as they are permanent members of the UNSC and have made statements about Iraq and Chapter Seven.

On December 19, 2008 a news article in the Kuwait KUNA headline stated:

Russia predicts Iraq will stay under Chapter 7 of UN Charter "for a while"

http://www.kuna.net.kw/newsagenciespublicsite/ArticleDetails.aspx?id=1961188&Language=en

In the article from the Kuwait KUNA it does not give any clue as to what the Russian U.N. Ambassador meant when he said Iraq will be under Chapter Seven “for a while” or long a while is.

If you recall Prime Minister (PM) Maliki wanted to get out of the Chapter Seven and at the same time wanted the Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) protected from liens and lawsuits that are or will be brought against the Iraqi government for actions that the previous regime was responsible for.

The Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin, said Iraq can not remain under resolutions in order to protect the DFI funds and than request to be removed from Chapter Seven.

PM Maliki had no choice in the matter because he knows he has to protect the DFI funds so he received a one year extension and Iraq would remain under Chapter Seven and the Resolution 1483 intact.

The Russian Ambassador comments at a press conference: "I think given the requirements of the Iraqis to be protected by Chapter 7 in this fund, you cannot get out of Chapter 7 if you want to have that protection under Chapter 7." "Frankly," he added, "the situation in Iraq is such that the presence of the Security Council in this form (Chapter 7) or another needs to continue to be there for a while."

Now lets look at the U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon, who is the head of the United Nations and was to give a report to the UNSC in regards to Iraq and the lifting of Chapter Seven. The report 17 pages was filed at the UNSC on 27 July 2009.

Link to U.N. Report by Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon
http://www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3-CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/Iraq%20S%202009%20385.pdf

On 28 July 2009, in the Kuwait Observer an article that was released by the United Nations and it listed some issues that Iraq must take responsibility for in reference to the U.N. Resolutions against it.

The Kuwait Observer Headline:

Ban urges UNSC to help Iraq fulfill obligations before coming out from Chapter Seven

http://www.kuwaitobserver.com/news/newsfull.php?newid=254975

The Secretary General Ban Ki Moon said about the UNSC “..continues to bear the primary responsibility for the implementation of the relevant Security Council Resolutions ...it is my hope that the Security Council will consider this report with a view to taking appropriate decisions that would help Iraq fulfill its outstanding obligations in a timely manner.”

The outstanding obligations in regards to the Iraqi government are numerous. Iraq was blamed for the delay in the work to maintain the boundary pillars at the international recognized border between Iraq and Kuwait, and mainly because of Baghdad's failure to remove several buildings along the border, the news article said.

The Iraqi government would like to lower the percentage of its contribution to the Compensation Fund from five to one percent or eliminating it all together. This does not sit well with the Kuwaiti government and they are adamant that Iraq abides by the Resolutions in regard to War Reparations for Kuwait.

No other country or government will pay the War Reparations for Iraq to Kuwait considering the economic crisis all five members of the UNSC are confronting especially the United States still funding two wars who is still using supplemental funding for day to day and combat operations.

If you take the time and read the Kuwait Observer article it outlines in plain english what the Iraqi government has to overcome in order for U.N. Chapter Seven is lifted and if you want to get more details read the Secretary general Report dated 27 July 2009.

I really didn't mean for this to be a long and drawn out as I probably lost most of you after the second page. After I started writing I just kept on coming up with references to make my case about Iraq and Chapter Seven.

In any case hope you enjoyed reading, be safe!

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August 20, 2009

Iraq Update 19 August

Important Iraq Dates

August 21st to September 19th 2009 – Ramadan
September 8, 2009 – New incoming Parliament Holds First Session
October 16-17, 2009, Getenergy for Iraq 2009, to be held in Istanbul, Turkey
October 24, 2009 – National Census
October 2009 – International Compact with Iraq– Date to be Announced – Baghdad
December 7-9, 2009 Iraq Petroleum Conference London U.K.
December 31, 2009 – Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) expires
December 31, 2009 – Article Seven U.N. Charter expires
December 2009 – Article 140 Vote
January 16, 2010 – Iraq Referendum Vote (SOFA Security Agreement)
January 16, 2010 - National Parliamentary Elections

You remember last April when an Iraq delegation went to Syria and signed economic agreements in reference to double taxation and the parameters on free zones between the two countries. They also signed three executive programs on cooperation in the fields of health, culture and environment, and lastly two memo's of understanding on housing, construction, and scientific projects.

All this information is as reported in the State run media SANA based out of Damascus this is important as there is another element worth noting that is coming out of Baghdad media.

The Prime Minister of Iraq Nuri al-Malki had been invited to Syria by Prime Minister Muhammed Naji Itri, last spring and now on the 18 August PM Maliki will visit Syria. This is not the first time PM Maliki has visited Syria. This meeting is coming on the tail end of another meeting between the Iraq Finance Minister and Syrian officials. What has transpired between this meeting of the Iraq Finance Minister and the Syrian officials is establishing direct links and agreements with Syria and Iraqi commercial banks and very soon you will see the creation of a Syrian-Iraqi bank inside Iraq.

Iraq needs more banks and bank branches inside Iraq since the Iraqi banking industry as a whole is small and fragile and doesn't have the capacity to conduct loans for reconstruction because of lack of capital to invest or maybe I should say unwilling to risk the capital. The high interest rate from the CBI stops most Iraq bank owners from investing other than parking their money inside the Central Bank.

There is approximately 500 bank branches inside Iraq for a population of 28 million which is low by any western standards and I am just waiting on that one Iraqi based company to raise the needed capital from the U.K. investors very soon.

The International Compact Iraq will be held in Baghdad in October and I expect this time around will net some great loans and agreements to assist Iraq in the rebuilding process due to the significant improvement in security. Members of the International Compact Iraq most likely will provide funding to assist Iraq in it's reconstruction effort. We can only hope anyway.

This is how the sequence will go over the next 90 days. Ramadan, New members of Parliament in September, International Compact Iraq. And in between maybe we can get some legislation pass such as where the Iraq Parliament left off before the summer break.

The Iraqi Parliament left for the summer break with a lot of legislation unresolved such as the Iraq and Gas Law, which when the Iraq Parliament, the new members will place the Oil and Gas Law high on the list to get resolved and we all hope passed. Just to give you an idea on other pending legislation, well how about the Political Parties Law, the Investment Law, Complementary budget, the infrastructure draft law and others.

When the Iraqi Parliament returns 8 September, the Iraq Parliament Speaker Iyad al-Samarra'i will definitely have his work cut out for him especially with the national elections just a few months away.

I am keeping this short more to follow later. Join the mailing list!

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August 19, 2009

Two Explosions Rock Baghdad

BAGHDAD -- Iraqi police and medical officials said at least two explosions have struck Baghdad, including one near the parliament building, killing at least three people.

Plumes of smoke and dust billowed into the sky from the scene of a car bomb in front of Baghdad's foreign ministry.
The officials say a parked car bomb targeted a joint Iraqi police and army patrol near the finance ministry in northern Baghdad on Wednesday morning.

Read Article

August 14, 2009

Iraq Info Update

This was recently sent out to the mailing list subscribers on 14 August 2009

Important Iraq Dates

August 21st to September 19th 2009 – Ramadan
September 8, 2009 – New incoming Parliament Holds First Session
October 16-17, 2009, Getenergy for Iraq 2009, to be held in Istanbul, Turkey
October 2009 – International Compact with Iraq– Date to be Announced – Baghdad
December 7-9, 2009 Iraq Petroleum Conference London U.K.
December 31, 2009 – Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) expires
December 31, 2009 – Article Seven U.N. Charter expires
December 2009 – Article 140 Vote
January 16, 2010 – Iraq Referendum Vote (SOFA Security Agreement)
January 16, 2010 - National Parliamentary Elections

I have updated the Important Iraq Dates and as you can see we are about a week away from Ramadan celebration. As you all know when Ramadan starts what are the chances of any significant thing happening in the Iraqi Parliament or within the Iraqi Government. I hope I am wrong and they pass all kinds of pending and badly needed legislation when the new incoming Iraqi parliament members come together on 8 September. I am sure some things will get done just have to wait and see exactly which things.

There has been a few significant things occurring in Baghdad but you wouldn't know it by reading the forums whom are waiting for or have seen the Chapter Seven mother ship lift off. Just joking. Everyone knows that Chapter Seven Resolutions are still in effect, right!!

Just recently and pay attention because this is important in Iraqi politics. The awakenings have decided to align themselves with PM Maliki just as along as the PM does not allow any Sectarian groups to join. The group the PM has is called the Rule of Law Alliance and the entire awakening group is ready to join. This is a smart move by the PM because it prevents the ISCI and Chalabi group from joining the Iraq Prime Minister's group and gaining any seats in the National elections next year. PM Maliki is attempting to create a national and non Sectarian list within his Rule of Law Alliance and with this move the PM is doing exactly what he said he was going to do.

The political climate is the thing to watch and you will learn how far are you away from your dream as everything is being prepared for the national elections next year and after.

Robbing Banks has been very lucrative business over the last several years as just recently the Al-Zuwiya Branch of the Rafidain Bank was robbed and eight guards killed and the robbers made off with the Police and MoI payroll totaling about 4.5 billion Iraqi Dinars. The bank robbery was discovered after the bank employees arrived for there daily work and discovered the guards dead. We hope that the robbers and everyone involved in this robbery and all the bank robbing in Iraq will be brought to justice.

The Al-Zuwiya Branch robbery is the most recent but by far the largest. The largest bank robbery as I mentioned a few years ago was the Rasheed Bank in Ramadi in June 2005 which the robbers took $13.5 million U.S. Dollars back when dollars was king. In June 2008 another payroll was stolen the Baghdad's Mustansiriya University, of 500K U.S. Dollars. In July 2007 another bank robbery of an Iraq Private Bank. Guess which bank this was? Never mind. The robbers scored $600K U.S.. In July 2006, another robbery of the Al-Istithmar Investment Bank in Mansour District, as the robbers were dressed up military uniforms and driving police cars so they say and took $1.4 million U.S. dollars. How about 8 June 2006, robbers went inside the Al-Rafidian Bank in Amiriya District and stole $850,000 U.S. dollars. As you can see Iraq has a problem with bank robbers and should do what ever is necessary to stop these robberies and hold the suspects accountable and everyone that is involved as it creates a problem for all the banks inside Iraq. The Iraqi banking industry in order to mitigate the loss have to hire and employ needed security to protect the banks assets and those costs go back to the customers in higher fee's which adds more pressure to the average Iraqi.

The Resolutions of Chapter Seven on Iraq are alive and well. They never were lifted or removed even after the Prime Minister of Iraq visited the United States last July and the PM plead his case to the U.S. while he was also lining up some deals for Iraq. The PM is getting ready for the International Compact that is coming up in a few months in Baghdad as you look at my Iraq important Dates it will be here before you know it. And one more thing before I forget IF and that is a big if when the resolutions are lifted it does not mean an RV is imminent or even close. There are some Iraq banking laws that are in need of passing and other legislation needed for an RV to come up on the radar screen.

Look for Chapter Seven to continue until up to the end of the year or even past the National Elections at which time you never know PM Malki after winning may have a little more Juice to shake off the Chapter Seven but he has to convince the Russians first. The Russians want to expand there military presence and to do that you need black gold and cash. The Oil and Gas law and Chapter Seven go together. I have mentioned this before your just not paying attention.

Ramadan is one week away and as a reminder remember to not eat, drink or smoke in front of muslims as they celebrate the festival of Ramadan. Ramadan is the most sacred of all Islamic religious observances. It's only a month and than Eid celebration after that for three days.

Changing Iraq Currency. Here we go again with the recent Arab media reporting mentioning the printing of new Iraq currency. You can't say that I didn't warn you as I have mentioned the dinar currency exchange in my blog how many times? I don't see this happening until after the national elections. This is going to be a slow process but it will happen as the currency needs a new look with those nice authorized signatures. When this does happen be sure to get your smuggled Iraqi dinar back to Iraq in time before the borders are shut down and the exchange is taking place inside Iraq. Don't worry about your secret code as Bank of America will be sitting on the sidelines watching the exchange take place wishing it was Chase Bank inside Iraq along with Citi Bank. The Chase Bank Baghdad branch is coming up nice will send pictures when it's completed. You betcha!

RV Update is still the same as the last time I mentioned it. There is no evidence on the ground that would make me believe that an RV is about to take place. Nothing! If it was I would be talking about it. The Iraqi's are worried about food prices and how much more in price there are going to go up and about the ration card. RV is not even on there minds. What is? Survival.

The Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq Shebibi recently visited the Cleric Sistani. Shebibi told the Cleric Iraq was in debt for about 140 Billion U.S. Dollars and needed a loan from the Cleric Sistani. Sistani said he would get back with him on that after Ramadan. After that conversation Shebebi smokes a cuban, drank Chai and left.

I appreciate people joining the mailing list and you do so by clicking on the link below. One day in the future I will stop posting on the blog and just email my rants, opinions, analysis or whatever to you all on the mailing list.

I almost forgot the Ministry of Industry and Minerals is going to cut off the electricity in the Industrial area or factories. This would cut off power to cement factories, the same factories that are making the cement for reconstruction projects in Iraq. The Ministry wants to lesson the load on the national grid. They don't realize there are hurting there economy because also the Phosphate factories will shut off and the Chemical factories that are in western Iraq. No water means the farmers can't water crops and there goes the food prices again. Chemical factories can't purify water so Cholera cases are going to go up. It's a mess and hopefully General Electric can do something quick.

Just so you know everything written is for entertainment purposes and if anything comes true what I have written it is just a mere coincidence.

Take care and you can write me at americancontractor@gmail.com


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